UK49sStatistical Research & Audit

Experimental models — research results

Backtesting

Comparison of model configurations across a training window and a held-out test window, with confidence intervals where the API reports them.

single-number 12.2%top-3 33.2%

Experimental model — unvalidated

In testing. No result here is confirmed out-of-sample.

Period selector

Applies to server-side backtest runs

Selections are submitted to the backtest endpoint. No client-side backtest is simulated.

Querying API…

Audited out-of-sample summary

performanceSummary from /dashboard — Clopper-Pearson 95% intervals as reported

Out-of-sample result

No summary rows returned.

Distinction labels are mandatory: a historical observation is measured on data the model was fitted to; an out-of-sample result is measured only on pre-draw records.